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Modeling Consequences of Air, Land and Underwater Explosions of Dangerous Space Bodies

Authors: Aleksandrov A.A., Kotlyarevskii V.A., Larionov V.I., Sushchev S.P. Published: 03.12.2014
Published in issue: #6(57)/2014  
DOI:

 
Category: Applied Mathematics and Methods of Mathematical Simulation  
Keywords: dangerous space body, explosion, earth’s surface, water area, damage effects, consequences’ forecasting, modeling

The major damage effects of dangerous space bodies falling and possible consequences of their impacts on natural and technogenic objects are analyzed. Methods of forecasting and evaluating of consequences of space bodies explosions in air, on earth’s surface and inside water area for the population and territories are presented taking into account physiographic conditions of the district and its urbanization level. Results of explosions’ consequences modeling and scenarios of catastrophic waves propagation caused by underwater explosion and possible danger from space body impact to the earth ’s surface are given. The probabilistic approach is used for evaluating of social consequences of air, land and underwater explosions by dangerous space bodies. This is due to the fact that the destruction of buildings and the situation in which people can be, has a clearly pronounced random nature.

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